“Nupes,” a coalition of left-wing forces and environmentalists led by the leader of the radical left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and “Juntos!” , a formation that includes centrists from the right, including the moderate socialists and their supporters. President Emmanuel Macron is practically restricted, according to the first estimates, of the first round of legislative elections that took place today in France.
The first predictions of the results indicate that NUPES came in first with 26.2%, followed by Juntos! (25.8%) and the National Assembly of Marine Le Pen, the far right (19.1%).
President Emmanuel Macron’s goal is to achieve, in the second round, an absolute majority to move forward with his reform program planned for his second term, but nothing is certain yet for him because the Mélenchon coalition may seriously complicate the project.
However, the reality is that, despite the favorable dynamics of the left, nothing has been decided yet in this first round and it has fewer votes in reserve for the second round of the coalition that supports Emmanuel Macron.
Indeed, after today’s first lap, intense maneuvers and behind-the-scenes negotiations will take place for the second lap next Sunday. This is the French “tradition,” where the two-round non-nominal majority electoral system remains in force, and is considered by many to be outdated.
The result is that the number of parliamentary seats that each party or coalition will obtain, next Sunday, in the second round, will not correspond to the vote obtained in the first round, which in fact represents the real balance. The forces of the various party formations in the French political arena.
Perhaps that’s why—because the proportional system does not exist in France in legislatures—six weeks after the presidential election, turnout in the current election has been historically low, with an abstention rate of nearly 53 percent, according to various estimates by research. institutes.
According to the second round predictions, Juntos! It could reach an absolute majority in Parliament next Sunday, June 19.
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