world
After El Niño peaked in December, it began to weaken. However, temperatures are expected to remain above average between March and May, and may drop between April and June.
Canvas
It was announced on Tuesday that the El Niño phenomenon, linked to rising temperatures, will continue at least between March and May, although it may end between April and June, after peaking in December.
In regular updating of this phenomenon, World Meteorological Organization The World Meteorological Organization expects that the El Niño phenomenon, which usually lasts between nine and 12 months and begins in mid-2023, will continue.It will continue to influence global climate in the coming months“.
According to the report, there is a 60% chance that these conditions will persist from March to May, and an 80% chance that weather conditions will become neutral (seasonally neutral, without the influence of El Niño) from April to June.
The Geneva-based UN agency expects that the persistence of the El Niño phenomenon, although weaker, along with expectations of unusually high sea surface temperatures in most of the world's oceans, will lead to an environmental catastrophe. Temperatures higher than normal in most regions of the Earth over the next three months and affect regional rainfall patterns.
Then there is the possibility of La Niña, which is usually associated with colder than usual weather Development later in the yearDespite the hypothesesBe uncertain“At this point,” he noted.
The World Meteorological Organization said that in addition to the El Niño and La Niña phenomena We also expect positive temperature anomalies over most of the Northern HemisphereExcept in extreme southeastern North America, as well as most of the southern hemisphere's land areas.
“El Niño is a phenomenon that occurs periodically, but irregularly, at intervals ranging from two to seven years,”he have Impact on global temperature, especially in the following year To be developed, in this case in 2024“WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said in the report.
“The sea surface temperature in January 2024, so far, was The highest level ever recorded in January“, warned the Argentine specialist.
Saulo pointed out that this is not only due to the influence of the El Niño phenomenon, but also… to global warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions resulting from human activity.
“The El Niño phenomenon contributed to these record temperatures, however Greenhouse gases are unequivocally the main cause“, male.
The President of the World Meteorological Organization stressed the importance of early warnings to mitigate the impact of the El Niño phenomenon on the societies and economies of the world. This allows countries to prepare in advance To try to limit damage in climate-sensitive sectors such as agriculture, water resources or healthcare.
“Early warnings of extreme weather and climate events associated with the El Niño phenomenon Saved many lives“, male.
According to the World Meteorological Organization, the El Niño phenomenon this year has reached a record high climax About 2°C above average sea surface temperature Between 1991 and 2020 in the tropics and the eastern and central Pacific, making it one of the five strongest events in history.
“Hardcore alcohol maven. Hipster-friendly analyst. Introvert. Devoted social media advocate.”
