Hey The weather on the weekend of 6 and 7 April 2024 will be characterized by the return of some instability, with an anti-cyclonic ridge allowing a few days of stable weather to 'break' and allowing the arrival of a front and some instability, associated with the Kathleen Low, which will be centered in the west of the UK. , which affects that area more intensely
that it The depression has been named by the Irish Meteorological ServiceThe country that will be most affected
Due to the expected weather features It is possible that there will not be very significant rain, although with the passage of the front it is possible that rain will fall, especially in the north, the center and on the coast – this rain may be “mud” on Saturday morning.
But the front that will arrive on Saturday, as shown in the image above, is supposed to arrive somewhat dispersed, with good periods without rain, and even places where it will not rain.
You The main impacts of the Kathleen Depression in Portugal will be felt offshore, with strong offshore disturbances expected
that it The severe depression will also be responsible for the influx of hot air into Europe in the following days
After this front passes in On Sunday, some models simulate conditions for a line of instability to form inland, but it remains uncertain whether it will remain inland in Portugal or in Spain. – It looks likely to be a relatively dry day
a It seems that spring has begun, and April, after an uncertain start, will soon bring changes – as we predicted in our monthly forecast, which you can read here
In the We expect some rain in the Azores on both days, while in Madeira only on Saturday, more in the morning
The anticyclone is gaining strength in the Azores region (NAO+) which will lead to stable weather throughout the Portuguese territory – We can see this anticyclonic strengthening in the ECMWF model chart at the end of the day Sunday
Weekend Weather – Saturday, April 6
The full forecast is available here
Continent
- Periods when the sky is very cloudy, especially medium and high clouds in the south
- Periods Scattered rain or showers in the northern and central regions (it will be intermittent), and it will be more frequent on the coast in the morning, and inland in the afternoon.
- Possibility of occurrence Local thunderstorms
- Winds from the southwest quarter, Moderate 20/30 km/h, sometimes blowing strongly on the northern and central highlands and on the coast, reaching speeds of 70 km/h.
- The wave height in the sea ranges from 3 to 5 meters, and its maximum peak reaches 6/7 meters on the northwestern coast.
- Suspended dust in the morningthen “swept” to the east (Spain) as of the afternoon
- A sharp rise in the minimum temperature and a sharp drop in the maximum temperature
Azores Islands
- Periods of very cloudy skieswith its opening during the morning, to become gradually Overcast in the afternoon
- – Light and infrequent rain showers in the morningbecoming periods of rain in the afternoon
- Winds are northwesterly, moderate, speed 20/30 km/h, turning to southwesterly, moderate to strong, and sometimes westerly. Strong, reaching speeds of up to 85 km/h, especially in the Western Islands
- The sea with waves rising to 4 metres, and The maximum wave height reaches 7 metres
- Temperatures without significant changes
wood
- Periods of very cloudy skiesGradually becoming partly cloudy
- Light rain showers in the morningNo rain is expected in the afternoon
- The winds are generally weak to moderate, with a speed of 20/30 km/hourfrom the west, and extends to the northwest
- – The sea reaches a wave height of 3/4 metres
- Temperatures without significant changes
This would be a Saturday with some rain in Portugal, both on the mainland and on the islands, with temperatures dropping again on mainland Portugal, while the weather remains mild on the islands. The Kathleen Depression is strengthening and causing major sea disturbances and bad weather in the British Isles
We can see the chart with the total expected cumulative rainfall, as well as the sea turbulence for Saturday – Forecast for next Sunday
The window
Weekend Weather – Sunday, April 7th
The full forecast is available here
Continent
- Periods of very cloudy skies, with openEspecially during the afternoon and in coastal areas
- Possibility of showering indoors
- Possibility Thunderstorms occur inland, closer to the border with Spain
- Winds will be westerly, light to moderate, with speeds between 10 and 20 km/hWith gusts sometimes reaching speeds of 30/40 km/h at high altitudes
- The wave height in the sea reaches 2/3 metres
- Minimum temperatures are on the way down, and maximum temperatures are on the way up
Azores Islands
- Periods The sky is very cloudy, with an opening
- Bathing Generally weak to moderate
- Winds are moderate, westerly, with a speed between 20 and 35 km/h, sometimes intensifying and reaching a speed of 60 km/h.
- The sea has a wave height of 3 to 4 metres
- Temperatures without significant changes
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- Heaven with Good open – some high clouds
- There is no rain forecast for today
- Winds are generally weak to moderate, northwesterly, with speeds between 15 to 30 km/h
- The wave height is up to two metres, and the sea is slightly calmer than the previous days
- Temperatures without significant changes
We can see from the ECMWF model forecast the expected rainfall for today, where we see a day with some precipitation in the mainland and the Azores as a result of some occasional rain, and dry in Madeira.
In the following days, what will the weather be like?
We expect more rain on Monday the 8th, with lower temperatures, strong winds in the north and highlands, and even the possibility of snow. However, this situation, a new depression that may affect France, constitutes the turning point for the beginning of more sustainable spring weather.
Temperatures will begin to rise in the coming days Winds may initially be from the north, but an easterly flow may quickly install
Group means for even models are shown The weather is warmer and drier than average from April 10 to 20
This is the current trend, and no major changes are expected in the forecast until that day, and it is then necessary to evaluate the forecast for the last ten days of April – we will see the development, but it will not be a great April in everything, but it is possible that there will be a possibility of thunderstorms as We mentioned previously
April remains a fairly variable month, but with more anti-cyclonic influence, which will generally strengthen throughout the month – you can read the full forecast for April here
A NAO (weak anticyclone in the Azores) phase prevailed. The anticyclone is gaining strength west of the Azores towards Greenland – creating the conditions for the descent of latitudinal lows towards mainland Portugal, in a situation at the end of March that was not very different from what happened on 7 to 10 March – now reversing again, i.e. the end of the circulation between the northwest and the southeast, giving way to the southwest and northeast circulation, which is warmer and more stable
a In the south, fortunately, rain has fallen more regularly – helping to reduce the drought situation a little further – and with the expected southwesterly flow, and with the anticyclone gaining some strength, it is likely that there will now be a drier phase for several days/weeks – although The water reinforcement that occurred, but the drought continues, and it is necessary to continue providing water, and we cannot believe that everything will be resolved with two or three days of rain.
This April will, with the current trend, be similar to 2023, i.e. warmer than average, with many days already reminiscent of summer, a month that will sometimes call the beach, and will remind us of July/August – this beginning was undoubtedly deceptive! – Stay tuned to our weekly forecast that will be published on the 7th for a more detailed forecast for the period from April 7 to 13, as we are monitoring the possibility of a heat period that is already close to what is expected in the summer!
In the Azores, the weather will continue to be rainy for the next 3/4 days, but we are likely to see the possibility of drier weather in the second week of April, although there are still significant uncertainties, with widely different forecasts, depending on which model. He was consulted
Flows may now prevail from the southwest The temperature should remain the same, and flow towards the north or northeast cannot be ruled out after that
The sea may remain rough
in In Madeira over the next few days we expect fairly mild and humid weather, but with the possibility of drier days
It is possible that Throughout April, a drier regime gradually sets in – To be confirmed – as the anticyclone is now supposed to affect the archipelago. There is no certainty in the expected scenario, as it will depend on the development and excavation of some depressions in the Azores, but it seems to be the most likely scenario.
Temperatures should generally remain within normal range – Be At present, no significant adverse weather conditions are expected in the archipelago
Final notes and sources used to obtain information
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Sources used for this weather information
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