Three opinion polls predicted on Wednesday (19) that Labor would win the July 4 election with a huge majority after 14 years in opposition.
Keir Starmer’s Labor is on course to win 425 parliamentary seats in the 650-member UK House of Commons, the most in its history, according to a YouGov poll. Sawantha predicted 516 seats for Labor and 406 overall.
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YouGov gave the Conservatives 108 seats and the Liberal Democrats 67. Savanta gives the Conservatives 53 seats and the Liberal Democrats 50. Common is predicted to be 155 and 49 respectively.
Chris Hopkins, Savannah’s director of political research, said his forecast puts Labor on track for a “historic majority”.
The polls are broadly in line with previous polls predicting a Labor victory, but show the scale of the Conservatives’ defeat could be worse than previously thought.
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YouGov’s forecast of 108 for the Conservatives is 32 places lower than its previous poll two weeks ago.
Savanta and YouGov both project that the party of Winston Churchill and Margaret Thatcher could win the fewest seats in its 200-year history of contesting elections.
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