A new poll shows Lula da Silva has 50% of voting intentions, while Jair Bolsonaro has 43%. The data shows which Brazilian citizens vote for each candidate.
A day after the last debate between Lula da Silva and Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil learned about another poll. The projection, carried out by Ipec and published by the Brazilian portal G1, shows a drop in the Labor Party (PT) candidate’s voting intentions.
In the company’s most recent poll, released on October 7 (five days after the first round of elections), Lula da Silva had 51% of voting intentions, while Bolsonaro had 43%. Now in the new poll the left candidate shows 50% and the current president maintains 43%.
As for voting intentions, not counting whites, amalgamators and undecided voters, Lula got 54% of the vote and Bolsonaro got 46%. In the previous IPIC poll, the former president received 55% of the valid votes, while the Liberal Party candidate received 45%.
Regarding the government’s performance for the past four years, 39.6% of respondents saw the performance of Bolsonaro’s CEO as “negative”, 39.4% saw the same performance as “positive” and 24.5% said the leadership was “regular”.
Who votes for whom?
The poll also indicates who supports each of the candidates for Palácio do Planalto. Lula da Silva, who was in office between 2003 and 2011, favored by the lower socioeconomic classes, Catholics, those who live in the interior of Brazil, those who proclaim themselves as holy/pardo, those with a low level of Literacy in reading and writing. And those who, due to the exclusion of parts, will never vote for Bolsonaro, considering the performance of the Brazilian leader in the past four years.
In turn, Bolsonaro is a favorite with middle/upper-class citizens, evangelicals, those who live in the North and Midwest regions, those who proclaim themselves white, those with a higher education and those who feel good about their work. Currently.
Bearing in mind that this election is already known as the most polarizing presidential election in Brazil’s history, and that there are currently only two candidates in the electoral race, the IPEC poll shows that 93% of voters say they have decided exactly who to vote for. In the second round, which will take place on October 30. On the other hand, those who think they can still change their mind total only 7%.
The debate between political opponents last Sunday was one of the last opportunities for the candidates to confront various issues and try to win the votes of those who remain unsure. The argument between the opponents was once again marked by mutual accusations and insults.
This is the third poll conducted by IPIC after the first round of the elections. This time, 3,008 people were interviewed in 184 municipalities, between Saturday and Monday. The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points.
“Hardcore alcohol maven. Hipster-friendly analyst. Introvert. Devoted social media advocate.”
